Double and Triple Points Days: What a Points Multiplier Returns as a Share of Theoretical Loss on Thunderstruck II
A points multiplier day raises the reward rate on the play you were already going to make, and that is the only play on which it is worth anything. On the illustrative program below, measured on Thunderstruck II, base points return 5.77% of theoretical loss after a 1x playthrough on the redeemed credit. A 2x day lifts that to 11.54%, a 3x day to 17.31%, and a 5x day to 28.85%. Every one of those leaves the player with a negative expectation, and any extra play a multiplier day draws out costs 3.35 cents per dollar wagered while returning at most 1 cent. The program being analyzed This is a generic structure, not a specific operator's published program. The point earn rate and redemption value below are illustrative round numbers, chosen so the arithmetic is easy to follow and easy to substitute with the terms of any real program. The shape is common across regulated US online casinos: Points are earned on slot handle at a fixed rate. Here: 1 point per $5 wagered. Points redee...